Preface
List of Figures and Tables
Figures
Tables
Biography
Dedication
Introduction: Systems Thinking and the Great Global Recession
Part I: Foundations
Chapter 1. Lines or Circles: The Basics of Systems Thinking
1.1 A Brief History of Systems Thinking
1.2 Application and Relevance of Systems Thinking
1.3 Linear Thinking and Systems Thinking
1.4 Complexity Economics and Systems Thinking
1.5 Systems Thinking Concepts
1.6 Loops
1.7 Lags: Time Delays
1.8 Limits to Growth
1.9 Levers: Points of Power
1.10 Visualization Tools
1.11 System Boundaries
1.12 Systems Thinking Philosophy
1.13 Summary
Chapter 2. As the Gears Turn: Policies, Practices, Markets, and Risk
2.1 Timeline
2.2 Federal Economic Policies
2.3 Home Mortgage Lending Practices
2.4 Markets and Human Behavior
2.5 Housing Market
2.6 Financial Market
2.7 Risk
2.8 Systems Interpretation
2.9 Summary
Part II: The Yin: Human Behaviors
Chapter 3. Where Can I Buy One? Humans and the Economy
3.1 History of Human Psychology in Economic Theory
3.2 The Role of Values and Beliefs in Economics
3.3 The Role of Expectations in Economics
3.4 The Role of Human Nature in Economics
3.5 Summary
Chapter 4. Who Are You Anyway? Values, Beliefs, Norms, and Behaviors
4.1 American Culture
4.2 Corporate Cultures
4.3 Systems Thinking Interpretation
4.4 Summary
Chapter 5. Visions of Grandeur: Expectations and Behaviors
5.1 Expectations and the Economic Environment
5.2 Systems Thinking Interpretation
5.3 Summary
Chapter 6. A Crisis of Human Proportions: Ethics and Behaviors
6.1 Mortgage Fraud
6.2 Disreputable Lending
6.3 Shady Corporate Strategy
6.4 Deceitful Dealings
6.5 Systems Thinking Interpretation
6.6 Summary
Chapter 7. Self Speaks Loudly and Carries a Big Stick: Sources of Unethical Behavior
7.1 Ethics and its Purpose
7.2 Ethical Issue: Self-Interest Versus Social Interest
7.3 Human Nature Traits of Self-Interest
7.4 Societal Needs
7.5 Economic Environment
7.6 Repositories of Moral Grounding
7.7 Concern about Consequences
7.8 Greed and Hubris
7.9 Short-Term Narrow-Focused Rewards
7.10 Historic Precedence
7.11 Systems Thinking Interpretation
7.12 Summary
Part III: The Yang: Economic Mechanisms
Chapter 8. What Goes Up Must Come Down: The Housing Bubble
8.1 Bubble History
8.2 The Rise and Fall of the Housing Bubble
8.3 Affordability and the Housing Bubble
8.4 Supply, Demand, and the Housing Bubble
8.5 Reasons for Supply and Demand Shifts
8.6 Supply and Demand Shift Synopsis
8.7 Systems Thinking Interpretation
8.8 Summary
Chapter 9. On Top of Debt Mountain: High-Risk Loans and Credit
9.1 Journey Segment One: Easy Availability of Credit
9.2 Journey Segment Two: High-Risk Loans
9.3 Journey Segment Three: Accumulation of Debt
9.4 Journey Segment Four: Defaults, Bankruptcies, and Foreclosures
9.5 Systems Thinking Interpretation
9.6 Summary
Chapter 10. The Risk Tiger Pounces: Financial Market, Risk, and Securitization
10.1 Securitization, Structuring, and Derivatives in the Financial Market
10.2 Systems Thinking Interpretation
10.3 Summary
Part IV: Yin and Yang: Integration
Chapter 11. Human Roots Are Deep: Yin Meets Yang
11.1 Expectations
11.2 Self-Interest and Social Interest
11.3 Material Desires
11.4 Greed
11.5 Economic Environment
11.6 Search for Meaning
11.7 Systems Thinking Interpretation
11.8 Summary
Chapter 12. It’s a Small World After All: Global Implications and the Road Ahead
12.1 Economic Truths about the Crisis
12.2 Summary of Crisis Dynamics
12.3 An Expanded Systems Perspective
12.4 Conclusions from the Expanded Systems View
12.5 Systems Thinking as a Tool
12.6 Effectiveness of Current Economic Policies
12.7 Yin and Yang Reprise
12.8 Implications for the Future
12.9 Concluding Remarks
Appendix
A.1 Relationship between Supply and Demand
A.2 Systems Thinking Interpretation
A.3 Summary
References
Glossary
Index